Sunday, February 6, 2011

Rugby for fairies...The Big Game in Big D

Packers (-3) over Steelers - You can still find -2.5, but you'd have to lay odds. If you were smart enough to snag the early -2.5, or even the opening -2.0, you should just go shopping for a +3.5 spread and hope to hit the middle. In fact, Bokolis found 7.5-1 for the game landing on the number. I don't know if that's a good price but, at 8-3, it's worth putting up a little piece of the built up powder.

If you simply must take sides, the pundits have been at it for a fortnight. I'm putting stock in playoff performance and Rodgers' numbers in ideal conditions, and downplaying all of this supposed experience.

In the same breath used to talk up Ruthlessbuggerer as potential legend with a third ring, the pundits also explain that he doesn't have to play well for the Steelers to win...some legend. They ignore that, against relatively weak opposition, he didn't do all that much to win the two he's got. Yes, I remember the final drive against Arizona. What I don't remember is seeing Santonio Holmes' second foot come down inbounds.

Therein lies the rub. All things being equal, the Packers should smoke the Steelers. But, when the Steelers are playing, all things aren't always equal. It's one thing for them to get the calls against the Seahawks and the Cardinals. They shouldn't get them against the Packers.

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